Model-based uncertainty in species range prediction

Many attempts to predict the potential range of species rely on environmental niche (or ‘bioclimate envelope’) modelling, yet the effects of using different niche-based methodologies require further investigation. Here we investigate the impact that the choice of model can have on predictions, id...

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Additional Info

Field	Value
Source	https://resources.unep-wcmc.org/products/WCMC_RT269
Author	UNEP-WCMC
Maintainer	UNEP-WCMC
Last Updated	March 9, 2023, 14:17 (UTC)
Created	March 9, 2023, 12:16 (UTC)
GUID	unep-wcmc-rsrc-report-wcmc_rt269
Issued	2023-03-09T01:01:13.109Z
Language	en
Modified	2023-03-09T01:01:13.109Z
Publisher email	info@unep-wcmc.org
Publisher name	UNEP-WCMC
Theme	Report
avg_rating	0
citation	Pearson, R. G., Thuiller, W., Araújo, M. B., Martinez-Meyer, E., Brotons, L., Mcclean, C., Miles, L., Segurado, P., Dawson, T. P. and Lees, D. C. (2006). Model-based uncertainty in species range prediction. Journal of Biogeography 33(10) 1704-1711. DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2006.01460.x
data_type	webpage
date_published	2006-04-12
icon_url	https://resources.unep-wcmc.org/assets/icons/document-placeholder-e938f98deb4879afb3aeb922f66a9def5d814e683ac7f4f20614478110eae22f.svg
license	copyright
num_views	0
short_description	This paper highlights an important source of uncertainty in assessments of the impacts of climate change on biodiversity and emphasize that model predictions should be interpreted in policy-guiding applications along with a full appreciation of uncertainty.